Canadian Rents Have Fallen for Two Years. Could That Affect Your Mortgage Approval?

House with a visible below-ground basement apartment and separate entrance

Canada’s advertised rents have fallen for two years. That’s good news for many renters, but could it make it harder to qualify for a mortgage on an investment property?

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Canadian rents have fallen for two years

The October 2026 National Rent Report from Rentals.ca and Urbanation reports an average Canadian asking rent of $2,034 in September, down 4.2% year over year. It describes 24 consecutive months of annual declines. Ontario asking rents were down 4.8%.

These figures describe advertised asking rents, not necessarily the rent paid by existing tenants. That distinction is essential when assessing a rental property’s financing, since a lender’s analysis of qualifying income depends on documented and eligible earnings rather than national averages.

GDS housing costs including mortgage payments, property taxes and heating

Can falling rents affect mortgage approval?

A lender may count eligible rental income when determining how much you can borrow. However, different lenders use different calculations. Some add a portion of rent to qualifying income; others use rental income to offset eligible property expenses.

The lender may request leases, evidence of deposits or an appraiser’s market-rent opinion. Lower expected rental income can affect debt-service calculations, especially for a vacant unit.

This assessment includes mortgage debt-service ratio calculations, while the amount available to borrow can also be constrained by the property’s loan-to-value ratio.

What if you’re refinancing a rental property?

Refinancing means qualifying again under the new lender’s requirements. A lender may review current leases, rental income, property value, existing debt and your personal finances.

If a tenant leaves and the next lease is signed at a lower rent, the refinance calculation may change. But an advertised market decline does not automatically reduce income from an existing lease.

Before counting on equity from a rental property, ask your mortgage agent to assess the lender’s treatment of the actual and projected rent. The terms of refinancing an existing mortgage also depend on the property’s value and your ability to qualify.

Two prospective homebuyers viewed from behind looking at a house with a For Sale sign

Could lower rents create a buying opportunity?

Lower rents are not automatically bad news for a buyer if property prices have fallen further. What matters is the relationship between purchase price, achievable rent and ongoing costs.

Assumption — illustrative example: At $500,000 and $2,500 monthly rent, gross annual rental yield is 6.0%. At $450,000 and $2,400 monthly rent, it is 6.4%. These are hypothetical numbers, not current market listings.

Neither figure is net cash flow. Property taxes, insurance, repairs, vacancies, management, condominium fees and mortgage payments can substantially change the result. The decision about when to enter the housing market should therefore consider both purchase price and carrying costs.

Why condo investors should pay attention

The report indicates national advertised condominium rents fell 7.8% year over year, compared with 2.7% for purpose-built apartments. This is a difference in advertised rents, not proof of a difference in investment profitability.

Condominium owners still need to budget for mortgage payments, maintenance fees, property taxes, insurance and unexpected assessments. Compare realistic current rents with the property’s full monthly carrying costs. The monthly payment itself can differ significantly under 25-year and 30-year amortization scenarios, subject to mortgage eligibility.

House with a visible below-ground basement apartment and separate entrance

Can basement-apartment income help you qualify?

A secondary suite can sometimes contribute to mortgage qualification, including when purchasing a home with a basement apartment. But the eligible amount and required evidence depend on the lender and program.

Lenders may examine the suite’s legal status, appraisal, lease and rental history. Do not assume that all projected rent will count.

The portion of rent a lender recognizes can influence mortgage debt-service ratio calculations and ultimately the amount you qualify to borrow.

Should you wait for rents to recover?

National rent averages cannot predict the rent for a specific street, building or unit. Nor can they tell us when a local rental market will recover.

Before buying or refinancing, stress-test the property against a lower achievable rent, a vacancy and higher expenses. The important question is whether the financing remains manageable even if conditions do not improve quickly, especially when choosing mortgage strategies under uncertain rates.

If you’re considering an Ontario investment property, I can help compare financing options using the rental income a lender is prepared to recognize.

Source: Rentals.ca and Urbanation National Rent Report. Lending requirements vary by lender and borrower.

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